Events
The Events page in the app menu shows a week of the events that move crypto: rate decisions of the Fed and other central banks, US inflation and jobs data, plus crypto events such as options expiry. Instead of a forecast, each event shows how BTC reacted in the hour after it the last six times. A click on Alert prepares a reminder, a reaction or a price alert.
The page is available in every plan. The Event node, which lets chains listen to events, is available from Pro; you can test it in the replay in every plan.
Reading the week
Section titled “Reading the week”- Day strip: Monday to Sunday, today highlighted. Dots show how many events a day has, very important ones in yellow. A click jumps to the day. The arrows move a week back or forward, Today returns.
- Filters: All, Economy or Crypto, plus Very important only. The page remembers your choice in this browser.
- Times are in your account’s time zone. If a clock change falls into the week, the page shows both abbreviations, such as “CEST/CET”.
- Importance in three levels, as bars next to the time: very important (such as CPI, the Fed rate decision, the jobs report and the quarter-end options expiry), important and less important. For GDP only the advance estimate counts as important.
- Actual: once an office has published its number, it appears with the event, with the prior value and the name of the office. Bank forecasts (consensus) are not shown: they are not freely available anywhere.
- tentative means: the office has not confirmed the date yet, the calendar shows the usual time.
The BTC reaction
Section titled “The BTC reaction”Below each event are up to six bars, one per earlier time, oldest on the left. A bar shows how far BTC/USDT moved in the hour after the event: from the price in the minute of the event to 60 minutes later, green up, red down. Hover over a bar to see the date, the change and the high and low within that hour.
- Ø is the average of the bars, with sign; the dashed line sits at its level.
- swing Ø is the average without sign: how much BTC typically moves, whichever way.
- It is computed from 1-minute candles that Bellchain loads itself, not from someone else’s statistics. New events get their bar about an hour after the event.
Alert for an event
Section titled “Alert for an event”Alert on an event offers three ways:
- Reminder 30 minutes before: creates a chain from the template Reminder Before CPI and the Fed, with this event in the Event node, and opens it in the editor. The message names the event, its time and the BTC price.
- BTC drops 1.5 % after: creates a chain from the template BTC Drops After CPI, for this event.
- Price alert for BTC: opens the price alert for BTC/USDT, for example for a level ahead of the event.
The new chains are drafts: you activate them in the editor, and before that you can test them in the replay with the events of the past. With Free the first two ways carry the Pro badge; you can still create and test them.
Which events
Section titled “Which events”Bellchain only shows events that move crypto prices. Equity events such as earnings, dividends and IPOs are left out, as are the many minor releases of statistics offices.
Economy
Section titled “Economy”| Event | Where | Importance | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate decision The US central bank sets its policy rate; half an hour later its chair speaks to the press. | US | very important | 8 times a year, 2 PM New York |
| US inflation (CPI) US consumer prices of the previous month; they shape expectations for Fed rates. | US | very important | monthly, 8:30 AM New York |
| US jobs report (NFP) New jobs and the unemployment rate in the US, usually on the first Friday of the month. | US | very important | monthly, usually on the first Friday, 8:30 AM New York |
| US inflation (PCE) The price measure the Fed targets, with household income and spending. | US | important | monthly, 8:30 AM New York |
| US producer prices (PPI) Prices US producers charge, often a lead for consumer prices. | US | important | monthly, 8:30 AM New York |
| US GDP Growth of the US economy in the quarter; the advance estimate matters most, later estimates less. | US | important | monthly, 8:30 AM New York; the advance estimate once a quarter |
| US retail sales Sales of US stores, a gauge of consumer demand. | US | important | monthly, 8:30 AM New York |
| US manufacturing (ISM) Survey of US factory purchasing managers on the first business day of the month; above 50 means growth. | US | important | monthly, on the first business day, 10 AM New York |
| US services (ISM) The same survey for services, two business days after manufacturing. | US | less important | monthly, on the third business day, 10 AM New York |
| US job openings (JOLTS) Open positions in the US, a look at how tight the labour market is. | US | less important | monthly, 10 AM New York |
| US ADP employment Private-sector job growth from the payroll firm ADP, two days before the jobs report. | US | less important | monthly, two days before the jobs report, 8:15 AM New York |
| US initial jobless claims New unemployment claims in the US, every Thursday. | US | less important | Thursdays, 8:30 AM New York |
| US consumer sentiment University of Michigan survey, with households’ inflation expectations. | US | less important | monthly, 10 AM New York |
| Fed minutes The minutes of the last meeting, three weeks after the rate decision. | US | important | 8 times a year, 2 PM New York |
| Fed chair testimony The Fed chair’s semiannual testimony on monetary policy. | US | important | twice a year |
| Jackson Hole symposium Annual meeting of central bankers in August; the Fed chair’s speech often sets the tone. | US | important | once a year, in August |
| ECB rate decision The European Central Bank sets interest rates for the euro area. | Euro area | important | 8 times a year, 2:15 PM Frankfurt |
| Bank of Japan rate decision The Bank of Japan sets rates, usually around noon in Tokyo; rising Japanese rates have moved crypto sharply before. | Japan | important | 8 times a year, around noon in Tokyo |
| Bank of England rate decision The Bank of England sets UK interest rates. | UK | less important | 8 times a year, noon London |
| Euro area inflation Flash estimate of euro area consumer prices, the basis for the ECB. | Euro area | less important | monthly, 11 AM Brussels |
Crypto
Section titled “Crypto”| Event | Where | Importance | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| Options expiry On the last Friday of the month at 08:00 UTC most options on bitcoin and ether expire, especially many at the end of a quarter. | worldwide | important | on the last Friday of the month, 8 AM UTC |
| Futures: weekly close Regulated bitcoin futures in the US close on Fridays at 4 PM Chicago time, earlier before holidays; until Sunday only crypto keeps trading. | worldwide | less important | Fridays, 4 PM Chicago |
| Futures: weekly open The futures reopen on Sundays at 5 PM Chicago time. If the price is far from Friday’s close, a gap opens that many traders watch. | worldwide | important | Sundays, 5 PM Chicago |
The futures’ weekly close moves earlier before holidays: if Good Friday, Christmas or New Year falls on the Friday, they close on Thursday, on Christmas Eve already at 12:15 PM Chicago time; on the Friday after Thanksgiving also at 12:15. Shortened trading on holidays during the week does not change the weekend.
Event node
Section titled “Event node”The Event node knows the same events and signals before the event, at the event (now) and after it, plus around the event and minutes to the event as a number. Under Events you pick one event or a group such as “CPI and Fed”, under Importance (in “More”) only the important ones. In messages, {{event}} and {{eventtime}} give the name and time of the event.
Three patterns, each as a template:
- Reminder: “before the event” straight into Telegram: Reminder Before CPI and the Fed.
- Reaction: Value at signal remembers the price at the event, “after the event” and AND limit it to the hour after: BTC Drops After CPI, or for the futures’ weekend gap BTC Futures Weekend Gap.
- News filter: “around the event”, NOT in front, then AND with your signal: alerts stay quiet in the half hour before and after important events, RSI Alert With a News Filter.
With short candles the reminder arrives right on time. With candles longer than “minutes before” it arrives on the last candle that closes early enough, so with 1-hour candles up to an hour earlier.
Where the events come from
Section titled “Where the events come from”- Economic events are fetched every day from financecalendar.com, which combines the calendars of statistics offices and central banks. Times that an office fixes (such as 2 PM New York for the Fed or 2:15 PM Frankfurt for the ECB) are set by Bellchain itself. If an office moves an event, the page, the replay and running chains follow with the next fetch.
- Crypto events are computed by Bellchain from fixed rules.
- If the calendar is unavailable, the page, the replay and chains use the data that ships with Bellchain: the events from twelve months back to a little over a year ahead.
- In the replay the events of the past apply, as they happened.
Version 2026.10.24.21 · Changelog